{ "license": "CC-BY-4.0", "attribution": "Match results & overseas odds: Football-Data.co.uk. HKJC odds: estimated by 港彩通 (OddsForge HK).", "data_source_url": "https://www.football-data.co.uk/englandm.php", "estimation_model": "Pinnacle-anchored pari-mutuel inversion with favorite-longshot bias (HKJC takeout=11.5%, Pinnacle vig=2.5%)", "schema_version": "1.0", "records": [ { "date": "2026-02-12", "home": "Brentford", "away": "Arsenal", "ft_home": 1, "ft_away": 1, "ht_home": 0, "ht_away": 0, "b365_h": 4.75, "b365_d": 3.9, "b365_a": 1.7, "pinnacle_h": 5.3, "pinnacle_d": 4.1, "pinnacle_a": 1.74, "pinnacle_source": "BetfairExchange", "wh_h": 4.8, "wh_d": 3.8, "wh_a": 1.7, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 4.58, "hkjc_d_est": 3.61, "hkjc_a_est": 1.61, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 9.12, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-02-18", "home": "Wolves", "away": "Arsenal", "ft_home": 2, "ft_away": 2, "ht_home": 0, "ht_away": 1, "b365_h": 11.0, "b365_d": 5.25, "b365_a": 1.29, "pinnacle_h": 13.0, "pinnacle_d": 6.2, "pinnacle_a": 1.3, "pinnacle_source": "BetfairExchange", "wh_h": 10.0, "wh_d": 5.5, "wh_a": 1.3, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 11.11, "hkjc_d_est": 5.4, "hkjc_a_est": 1.19, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 7.62, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-02-21", "home": "Aston Villa", "away": "Leeds", "ft_home": 1, "ft_away": 1, "ht_home": 0, "ht_away": 1, "b365_h": 1.85, "b365_d": 3.6, "b365_a": 4.33, "pinnacle_h": 1.89, "pinnacle_d": 3.8, "pinnacle_a": 4.7, "pinnacle_source": "BetfairExchange", "wh_h": 1.87, "wh_d": 3.6, "wh_a": 4.0, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 1.74, "hkjc_d_est": 3.39, "hkjc_a_est": 4.11, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 8.82, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-02-21", "home": "Brentford", "away": "Brighton", "ft_home": 0, "ft_away": 2, "ht_home": 0, "ht_away": 2, "b365_h": 2.0, "b365_d": 3.7, "b365_a": 3.5, "pinnacle_h": 2.1, "pinnacle_d": 3.85, "pinnacle_a": 3.65, "pinnacle_source": "BetfairExchange", "wh_h": 2.0, "wh_d": 3.5, "wh_a": 3.6, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 1.94, "hkjc_d_est": 3.39, "hkjc_a_est": 3.28, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 8.67, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-02-21", "home": "Chelsea", "away": "Burnley", "ft_home": 1, "ft_away": 1, "ht_home": 1, "ht_away": 0, "b365_h": 1.22, "b365_d": 6.5, "b365_a": 12.0, "pinnacle_h": 1.23, "pinnacle_d": 7.6, "pinnacle_a": 15.5, "pinnacle_source": "BetfairExchange", "wh_h": 1.23, "wh_d": 7.0, "wh_a": 11.0, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 1.13, "hkjc_d_est": 6.62, "hkjc_a_est": 13.24, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 6.25, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-02-21", "home": "West Ham", "away": "Bournemouth", "ft_home": 0, "ft_away": 0, "ht_home": 0, "ht_away": 0, "b365_h": 2.5, "b365_d": 3.7, "b365_a": 2.63, "pinnacle_h": 2.56, "pinnacle_d": 3.8, "pinnacle_a": 2.84, "pinnacle_source": "BetfairExchange", "wh_h": 2.4, "wh_d": 3.7, "wh_a": 2.7, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 2.34, "hkjc_d_est": 3.38, "hkjc_a_est": 2.55, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 8.77, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-02-21", "home": "Man City", "away": "Newcastle", "ft_home": 2, "ft_away": 1, "ht_home": 2, "ht_away": 1, "b365_h": 1.45, "b365_d": 5.0, "b365_a": 5.5, "pinnacle_h": 1.51, "pinnacle_d": 5.3, "pinnacle_a": 6.4, "pinnacle_source": "BetfairExchange", "wh_h": 1.47, "wh_d": 5.0, "wh_a": 5.5, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 1.39, "hkjc_d_est": 4.65, "hkjc_a_est": 5.51, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 8.4, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-02-22", "home": "Crystal Palace", "away": "Wolves", "ft_home": 1, "ft_away": 0, "ht_home": 0, "ht_away": 0, "b365_h": 1.65, "b365_d": 4.0, "b365_a": 5.0, "pinnacle_h": 1.69, "pinnacle_d": 4.1, "pinnacle_a": 5.7, "pinnacle_source": "BetfairExchange", "wh_h": 1.61, "wh_d": 4.0, "wh_a": 5.25, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 1.57, "hkjc_d_est": 3.62, "hkjc_a_est": 4.94, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 8.85, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-02-22", "home": "Nott'm Forest", "away": "Liverpool", "ft_home": 0, "ft_away": 1, "ht_home": 0, "ht_away": 0, "b365_h": 4.1, "b365_d": 3.9, "b365_a": 1.8, "pinnacle_h": 4.4, "pinnacle_d": 4.1, "pinnacle_a": 1.88, "pinnacle_source": "BetfairExchange", "wh_h": 4.0, "wh_d": 3.8, "wh_a": 1.83, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 3.84, "hkjc_d_est": 3.65, "hkjc_a_est": 1.72, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 9.08, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-02-22", "home": "Sunderland", "away": "Fulham", "ft_home": 1, "ft_away": 3, "ht_home": 0, "ht_away": 0, "b365_h": 2.7, "b365_d": 3.25, "b365_a": 2.7, "pinnacle_h": 2.8, "pinnacle_d": 3.35, "pinnacle_a": 2.84, "pinnacle_source": "BetfairExchange", "wh_h": 2.6, "wh_d": 3.3, "wh_a": 2.7, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 2.57, "hkjc_d_est": 2.99, "hkjc_a_est": 2.56, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 8.52, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-02-22", "home": "Tottenham", "away": "Arsenal", "ft_home": 1, "ft_away": 4, "ht_home": 1, "ht_away": 1, "b365_h": 6.0, "b365_d": 4.0, "b365_a": 1.57, "pinnacle_h": 6.2, "pinnacle_d": 4.3, "pinnacle_a": 1.62, "pinnacle_source": "BetfairExchange", "wh_h": 5.5, "wh_d": 4.0, "wh_a": 1.58, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 5.37, "hkjc_d_est": 3.8, "hkjc_a_est": 1.5, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 9.71, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-02-23", "home": "Everton", "away": "Man United", "ft_home": 0, "ft_away": 1, "ht_home": 0, "ht_away": 0, "b365_h": 3.7, "b365_d": 3.75, "b365_a": 1.91, "pinnacle_h": 3.8, "pinnacle_d": 3.95, "pinnacle_a": 2.02, "pinnacle_source": "BetfairExchange", "wh_h": 3.5, "wh_d": 3.75, "wh_a": 1.98, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 3.41, "hkjc_d_est": 3.48, "hkjc_a_est": 1.87, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 8.56, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-02-27", "home": "Wolves", "away": "Aston Villa", "ft_home": 2, "ft_away": 0, "ht_home": 0, "ht_away": 0, "b365_h": 4.1, "b365_d": 3.7, "b365_a": 1.85, "pinnacle_h": 4.6, "pinnacle_d": 3.85, "pinnacle_a": 1.9, "pinnacle_source": "BetfairExchange", "wh_h": 4.2, "wh_d": 3.7, "wh_a": 1.83, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 4.01, "hkjc_d_est": 3.43, "hkjc_a_est": 1.74, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 8.77, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-02-28", "home": "Bournemouth", "away": "Sunderland", "ft_home": 1, "ft_away": 1, "ht_home": 0, "ht_away": 1, "b365_h": 1.8, "b365_d": 3.75, "b365_a": 4.33, "pinnacle_h": 1.83, "pinnacle_d": 3.95, "pinnacle_a": 4.8, "pinnacle_source": "BetfairExchange", "wh_h": 1.75, "wh_d": 3.9, "wh_a": 4.33, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 1.68, "hkjc_d_est": 3.53, "hkjc_a_est": 4.21, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 8.51, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-02-28", "home": "Burnley", "away": "Brentford", "ft_home": 3, "ft_away": 4, "ht_home": 1, "ht_away": 3, "b365_h": 4.5, "b365_d": 3.9, "b365_a": 1.73, "pinnacle_h": 5.0, "pinnacle_d": 4.0, "pinnacle_a": 1.79, "pinnacle_source": "BetfairExchange", "wh_h": 4.33, "wh_d": 3.8, "wh_a": 1.75, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 4.33, "hkjc_d_est": 3.54, "hkjc_a_est": 1.66, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 9.1, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-02-28", "home": "Liverpool", "away": "West Ham", "ft_home": 5, "ft_away": 2, "ht_home": 3, "ht_away": 0, "b365_h": 1.42, "b365_d": 4.75, "b365_a": 6.5, "pinnacle_h": 1.46, "pinnacle_d": 5.4, "pinnacle_a": 7.4, "pinnacle_source": "BetfairExchange", "wh_h": 1.42, "wh_d": 5.5, "wh_a": 6.0, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 1.34, "hkjc_d_est": 4.72, "hkjc_a_est": 6.35, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 8.14, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-02-28", "home": "Newcastle", "away": "Everton", "ft_home": 2, "ft_away": 3, "ht_home": 1, "ht_away": 2, "b365_h": 1.7, "b365_d": 4.0, "b365_a": 4.75, "pinnacle_h": 1.76, "pinnacle_d": 4.1, "pinnacle_a": 5.0, "pinnacle_source": "BetfairExchange", "wh_h": 1.68, "wh_d": 4.0, "wh_a": 4.6, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 1.64, "hkjc_d_est": 3.63, "hkjc_a_est": 4.35, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 9.71, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-02-28", "home": "Leeds", "away": "Man City", "ft_home": 0, "ft_away": 1, "ht_home": 0, "ht_away": 1, "b365_h": 4.75, "b365_d": 4.33, "b365_a": 1.62, "pinnacle_h": 5.5, "pinnacle_d": 4.6, "pinnacle_a": 1.65, "pinnacle_source": "BetfairExchange", "wh_h": 4.75, "wh_d": 4.2, "wh_a": 1.63, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 4.74, "hkjc_d_est": 4.04, "hkjc_a_est": 1.52, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 8.74, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-03-01", "home": "Brighton", "away": "Nott'm Forest", "ft_home": 2, "ft_away": 1, "ht_home": 2, "ht_away": 1, "b365_h": 2.0, "b365_d": 3.6, "b365_a": 3.5, "pinnacle_h": 2.16, "pinnacle_d": 3.65, "pinnacle_a": 3.7, "pinnacle_source": "BetfairExchange", "wh_h": 2.05, "wh_d": 3.6, "wh_a": 3.4, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 1.99, "hkjc_d_est": 3.27, "hkjc_a_est": 3.25, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 8.72, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-03-01", "home": "Fulham", "away": "Tottenham", "ft_home": 2, "ft_away": 1, "ht_home": 2, "ht_away": 0, "b365_h": 2.1, "b365_d": 3.6, "b365_a": 3.3, "pinnacle_h": 2.18, "pinnacle_d": 3.75, "pinnacle_a": 3.55, "pinnacle_source": "BetfairExchange", "wh_h": 2.1, "wh_d": 3.6, "wh_a": 3.3, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 2.01, "hkjc_d_est": 3.29, "hkjc_a_est": 3.18, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 8.62, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-03-01", "home": "Man United", "away": "Crystal Palace", "ft_home": 2, "ft_away": 1, "ht_home": 0, "ht_away": 1, "b365_h": 1.53, "b365_d": 4.5, "b365_a": 5.5, "pinnacle_h": 1.58, "pinnacle_d": 4.6, "pinnacle_a": 6.4, "pinnacle_source": "BetfairExchange", "wh_h": 1.57, "wh_d": 4.4, "wh_a": 5.25, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 1.46, "hkjc_d_est": 4.04, "hkjc_a_est": 5.51, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 9.04, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-03-01", "home": "Arsenal", "away": "Chelsea", "ft_home": 2, "ft_away": 1, "ht_home": 1, "ht_away": 1, "b365_h": 1.6, "b365_d": 3.8, "b365_a": 5.5, "pinnacle_h": 1.65, "pinnacle_d": 4.3, "pinnacle_a": 5.9, "pinnacle_source": "BetfairExchange", "wh_h": 1.63, "wh_d": 4.0, "wh_a": 5.25, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 1.53, "hkjc_d_est": 3.79, "hkjc_a_est": 5.1, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 8.28, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-03-03", "home": "Bournemouth", "away": "Brentford", "ft_home": 0, "ft_away": 0, "ht_home": 0, "ht_away": 0, "b365_h": 2.5, "b365_d": 3.6, "b365_a": 2.63, "pinnacle_h": 2.64, "pinnacle_d": 3.75, "pinnacle_a": 2.8, "pinnacle_source": "BetfairExchange", "wh_h": 2.5, "wh_d": 3.6, "wh_a": 2.65, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 2.41, "hkjc_d_est": 3.32, "hkjc_a_est": 2.51, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 8.5, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-03-03", "home": "Everton", "away": "Burnley", "ft_home": 2, "ft_away": 0, "ht_home": 1, "ht_away": 0, "b365_h": 1.57, "b365_d": 4.0, "b365_a": 6.0, "pinnacle_h": 1.62, "pinnacle_d": 4.1, "pinnacle_a": 6.8, "pinnacle_source": "BetfairExchange", "wh_h": 1.57, "wh_d": 4.1, "wh_a": 5.75, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 1.5, "hkjc_d_est": 3.61, "hkjc_a_est": 5.87, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 9.18, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-03-03", "home": "Leeds", "away": "Sunderland", "ft_home": 0, "ft_away": 1, "ht_home": 0, "ht_away": 0, "b365_h": 1.85, "b365_d": 3.4, "b365_a": 4.33, "pinnacle_h": 1.94, "pinnacle_d": 3.6, "pinnacle_a": 4.7, "pinnacle_source": "BetfairExchange", "wh_h": 1.88, "wh_d": 3.5, "wh_a": 4.2, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 1.78, "hkjc_d_est": 3.21, "hkjc_a_est": 4.11, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 8.45, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-03-03", "home": "Wolves", "away": "Liverpool", "ft_home": 2, "ft_away": 1, "ht_home": 0, "ht_away": 0, "b365_h": 5.5, "b365_d": 4.5, "b365_a": 1.5, "pinnacle_h": 7.0, "pinnacle_d": 5.0, "pinnacle_a": 1.51, "pinnacle_source": "BetfairExchange", "wh_h": 5.5, "wh_d": 4.6, "wh_a": 1.52, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 6.01, "hkjc_d_est": 4.38, "hkjc_a_est": 1.39, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 6.9, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-03-04", "home": "Aston Villa", "away": "Chelsea", "ft_home": 1, "ft_away": 4, "ht_home": 1, "ht_away": 2, "b365_h": 2.7, "b365_d": 3.4, "b365_a": 2.55, "pinnacle_h": 2.84, "pinnacle_d": 3.65, "pinnacle_a": 2.62, "pinnacle_source": "BetfairExchange", "wh_h": 2.6, "wh_d": 3.6, "wh_a": 2.5, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 2.55, "hkjc_d_est": 3.25, "hkjc_a_est": 2.4, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 8.27, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-03-04", "home": "Brighton", "away": "Arsenal", "ft_home": 0, "ft_away": 1, "ht_home": 0, "ht_away": 1, "b365_h": 4.75, "b365_d": 4.1, "b365_a": 1.65, "pinnacle_h": 5.7, "pinnacle_d": 4.2, "pinnacle_a": 1.7, "pinnacle_source": "BetfairExchange", "wh_h": 5.0, "wh_d": 3.9, "wh_a": 1.66, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 4.9, "hkjc_d_est": 3.68, "hkjc_a_est": 1.56, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 8.93, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-03-04", "home": "Fulham", "away": "West Ham", "ft_home": 0, "ft_away": 1, "ht_home": 0, "ht_away": 0, "b365_h": 2.0, "b365_d": 3.5, "b365_a": 3.7, "pinnacle_h": 2.1, "pinnacle_d": 3.75, "pinnacle_a": 3.85, "pinnacle_source": "BetfairExchange", "wh_h": 2.05, "wh_d": 3.5, "wh_a": 3.5, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 1.93, "hkjc_d_est": 3.34, "hkjc_a_est": 3.37, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 8.92, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-03-04", "home": "Man City", "away": "Nott'm Forest", "ft_home": 2, "ft_away": 2, "ht_home": 1, "ht_away": 0, "b365_h": 1.38, "b365_d": 5.0, "b365_a": 7.5, "pinnacle_h": 1.42, "pinnacle_d": 5.4, "pinnacle_a": 8.8, "pinnacle_source": "BetfairExchange", "wh_h": 1.41, "wh_d": 5.25, "wh_a": 6.5, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 1.3, "hkjc_d_est": 4.7, "hkjc_a_est": 7.52, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 8.9, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-03-04", "home": "Newcastle", "away": "Man United", "ft_home": 2, "ft_away": 1, "ht_home": 1, "ht_away": 1, "b365_h": 2.63, "b365_d": 3.5, "b365_a": 2.6, "pinnacle_h": 2.72, "pinnacle_d": 3.8, "pinnacle_a": 2.66, "pinnacle_source": "BetfairExchange", "wh_h": 2.45, "wh_d": 3.75, "wh_a": 2.55, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 2.44, "hkjc_d_est": 3.38, "hkjc_a_est": 2.44, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 8.47, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-03-05", "home": "Tottenham", "away": "Crystal Palace", "ft_home": 1, "ft_away": 3, "ht_home": 1, "ht_away": 3, "b365_h": 2.35, "b365_d": 3.25, "b365_a": 3.1, "pinnacle_h": 2.5, "pinnacle_d": 3.5, "pinnacle_a": 3.1, "pinnacle_source": "BetfairExchange", "wh_h": 2.3, "wh_d": 3.4, "wh_a": 3.0, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 2.29, "hkjc_d_est": 3.12, "hkjc_a_est": 2.79, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 8.39, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-03-14", "home": "Burnley", "away": "Bournemouth", "ft_home": 0, "ft_away": 0, "ht_home": 0, "ht_away": 0, "b365_h": 4.1, "b365_d": 3.8, "b365_a": 1.83, "pinnacle_h": 4.3, "pinnacle_d": 4.1, "pinnacle_a": 1.89, "pinnacle_source": "BetfairExchange", "wh_h": 4.0, "wh_d": 3.7, "wh_a": 1.87, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 3.76, "hkjc_d_est": 3.66, "hkjc_a_est": 1.74, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 8.84, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-03-14", "home": "Sunderland", "away": "Brighton", "ft_home": 0, "ft_away": 1, "ht_home": 0, "ht_away": 0, "b365_h": 3.3, "b365_d": 3.3, "b365_a": 2.25, "pinnacle_h": 3.5, "pinnacle_d": 3.45, "pinnacle_a": 2.3, "pinnacle_source": "BetfairExchange", "wh_h": 3.2, "wh_d": 3.3, "wh_a": 2.25, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 3.12, "hkjc_d_est": 3.11, "hkjc_a_est": 2.11, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 8.44, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-03-14", "home": "Arsenal", "away": "Everton", "ft_home": 2, "ft_away": 0, "ht_home": 0, "ht_away": 0, "b365_h": 1.38, "b365_d": 4.75, "b365_a": 8.5, "pinnacle_h": 1.4, "pinnacle_d": 5.1, "pinnacle_a": 10.0, "pinnacle_source": "BetfairExchange", "wh_h": 1.39, "wh_d": 4.8, "wh_a": 7.75, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 1.29, "hkjc_d_est": 4.47, "hkjc_a_est": 8.6, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 8.5, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-03-14", "home": "Chelsea", "away": "Newcastle", "ft_home": 0, "ft_away": 1, "ht_home": 0, "ht_away": 1, "b365_h": 1.8, "b365_d": 4.2, "b365_a": 3.8, "pinnacle_h": 1.88, "pinnacle_d": 4.4, "pinnacle_a": 4.1, "pinnacle_source": "BetfairExchange", "wh_h": 1.78, "wh_d": 4.2, "wh_a": 3.9, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 1.72, "hkjc_d_est": 3.84, "hkjc_a_est": 3.65, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 9.06, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-03-14", "home": "West Ham", "away": "Man City", "ft_home": 1, "ft_away": 1, "ht_home": 1, "ht_away": 1, "b365_h": 4.33, "b365_d": 4.33, "b365_a": 1.7, "pinnacle_h": 4.9, "pinnacle_d": 4.3, "pinnacle_a": 1.76, "pinnacle_source": "BetfairExchange", "wh_h": 4.2, "wh_d": 4.2, "wh_a": 1.72, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 4.23, "hkjc_d_est": 3.78, "hkjc_a_est": 1.63, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 9.8, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-03-15", "home": "Crystal Palace", "away": "Leeds", "ft_home": 0, "ft_away": 0, "ht_home": 0, "ht_away": 0, "b365_h": 2.55, "b365_d": 3.3, "b365_a": 2.88, "pinnacle_h": 2.58, "pinnacle_d": 3.3, "pinnacle_a": 3.15, "pinnacle_source": "BetfairExchange", "wh_h": 2.45, "wh_d": 3.2, "wh_a": 2.95, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 2.37, "hkjc_d_est": 2.94, "hkjc_a_est": 2.83, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 9.0, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-03-15", "home": "Man United", "away": "Aston Villa", "ft_home": 3, "ft_away": 1, "ht_home": 0, "ht_away": 0, "b365_h": 1.73, "b365_d": 4.0, "b365_a": 4.5, "pinnacle_h": 1.75, "pinnacle_d": 4.4, "pinnacle_a": 4.8, "pinnacle_source": "BetfairExchange", "wh_h": 1.73, "wh_d": 4.0, "wh_a": 4.33, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 1.62, "hkjc_d_est": 3.88, "hkjc_a_est": 4.15, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 9.23, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-03-15", "home": "Nott'm Forest", "away": "Fulham", "ft_home": 0, "ft_away": 0, "ht_home": 0, "ht_away": 0, "b365_h": 2.2, "b365_d": 3.4, "b365_a": 3.3, "pinnacle_h": 2.36, "pinnacle_d": 3.5, "pinnacle_a": 3.35, "pinnacle_source": "BetfairExchange", "wh_h": 2.15, "wh_d": 3.5, "wh_a": 3.3, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 2.16, "hkjc_d_est": 3.12, "hkjc_a_est": 3.01, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 8.87, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-03-15", "home": "Liverpool", "away": "Tottenham", "ft_home": 1, "ft_away": 1, "ht_home": 1, "ht_away": 0, "b365_h": 1.3, "b365_d": 6.25, "b365_a": 8.0, "pinnacle_h": 1.32, "pinnacle_d": 6.6, "pinnacle_a": 10.0, "pinnacle_source": "BetfairExchange", "wh_h": 1.32, "wh_d": 5.75, "wh_a": 8.25, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 1.21, "hkjc_d_est": 5.77, "hkjc_a_est": 8.57, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 8.21, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-03-16", "home": "Brentford", "away": "Wolves", "ft_home": 2, "ft_away": 2, "ht_home": 2, "ht_away": 1, "b365_h": 1.55, "b365_d": 4.2, "b365_a": 5.75, "pinnacle_h": 1.61, "pinnacle_d": 4.4, "pinnacle_a": 6.2, "pinnacle_source": "BetfairExchange", "wh_h": 1.58, "wh_d": 4.33, "wh_a": 5.25, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 1.49, "hkjc_d_est": 3.88, "hkjc_a_est": 5.36, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 9.45, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-03-20", "home": "Bournemouth", "away": "Man United", "ft_home": 2, "ft_away": 2, "ht_home": 0, "ht_away": 0, "b365_h": 3.2, "b365_d": 3.8, "b365_a": 2.1, "pinnacle_h": 3.45, "pinnacle_d": 4.0, "pinnacle_a": 2.16, "pinnacle_source": "BetfairExchange", "wh_h": 3.2, "wh_d": 3.8, "wh_a": 2.05, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 3.08, "hkjc_d_est": 3.5, "hkjc_a_est": 1.98, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 8.99, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-03-21", "home": "Brighton", "away": "Liverpool", "ft_home": 2, "ft_away": 1, "ht_home": 1, "ht_away": 1, "b365_h": 3.1, "b365_d": 3.5, "b365_a": 2.2, "pinnacle_h": 3.2, "pinnacle_d": 3.75, "pinnacle_a": 2.34, "pinnacle_source": "BetfairExchange", "wh_h": 3.0, "wh_d": 3.5, "wh_a": 2.25, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 2.87, "hkjc_d_est": 3.33, "hkjc_a_est": 2.14, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 8.23, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-03-21", "home": "Fulham", "away": "Burnley", "ft_home": 3, "ft_away": 1, "ht_home": 0, "ht_away": 0, "b365_h": 1.53, "b365_d": 4.1, "b365_a": 6.25, "pinnacle_h": 1.6, "pinnacle_d": 4.2, "pinnacle_a": 6.8, "pinnacle_source": "BetfairExchange", "wh_h": 1.55, "wh_d": 4.1, "wh_a": 6.0, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 1.48, "hkjc_d_est": 3.7, "hkjc_a_est": 5.88, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 9.62, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-03-21", "home": "Everton", "away": "Chelsea", "ft_home": 3, "ft_away": 0, "ht_home": 1, "ht_away": 0, "b365_h": 3.5, "b365_d": 3.4, "b365_a": 2.1, "pinnacle_h": 3.55, "pinnacle_d": 3.7, "pinnacle_a": 2.18, "pinnacle_source": "BetfairExchange", "wh_h": 3.4, "wh_d": 3.5, "wh_a": 2.1, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 3.19, "hkjc_d_est": 3.26, "hkjc_a_est": 2.02, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 8.45, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-03-21", "home": "Leeds", "away": "Brentford", "ft_home": 0, "ft_away": 0, "ht_home": 0, "ht_away": 0, "b365_h": 2.45, "b365_d": 3.5, "b365_a": 2.88, "pinnacle_h": 2.6, "pinnacle_d": 3.55, "pinnacle_a": 2.94, "pinnacle_source": "BetfairExchange", "wh_h": 2.4, "wh_d": 3.5, "wh_a": 2.8, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 2.38, "hkjc_d_est": 3.16, "hkjc_a_est": 2.64, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 9.29, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-03-22", "home": "Newcastle", "away": "Sunderland", "ft_home": 1, "ft_away": 2, "ht_home": 1, "ht_away": 0, "b365_h": 1.67, "b365_d": 4.0, "b365_a": 5.0, "pinnacle_h": 1.74, "pinnacle_d": 4.1, "pinnacle_a": 5.5, "pinnacle_source": "BetfairExchange", "wh_h": 1.66, "wh_d": 4.0, "wh_a": 4.8, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 1.6, "hkjc_d_est": 3.59, "hkjc_a_est": 4.72, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 10.2, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-03-22", "home": "Aston Villa", "away": "West Ham", "ft_home": 2, "ft_away": 0, "ht_home": 1, "ht_away": 0, "b365_h": 1.95, "b365_d": 3.6, "b365_a": 3.8, "pinnacle_h": 2.06, "pinnacle_d": 3.8, "pinnacle_a": 3.95, "pinnacle_source": "BetfairExchange", "wh_h": 1.95, "wh_d": 3.6, "wh_a": 3.75, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 1.89, "hkjc_d_est": 3.38, "hkjc_a_est": 3.45, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 9.29, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-03-22", "home": "Tottenham", "away": "Nott'm Forest", "ft_home": 0, "ft_away": 3, "ht_home": 0, "ht_away": 1, "b365_h": 2.25, "b365_d": 3.4, "b365_a": 3.2, "pinnacle_h": 2.34, "pinnacle_d": 3.5, "pinnacle_a": 3.4, "pinnacle_source": "BetfairExchange", "wh_h": 2.2, "wh_d": 3.5, "wh_a": 3.2, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 2.14, "hkjc_d_est": 3.11, "hkjc_a_est": 3.05, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 8.79, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-04-10", "home": "West Ham", "away": "Wolves", "ft_home": 4, "ft_away": 0, "ht_home": 1, "ht_away": 0, "b365_h": 1.8, "b365_d": 3.8, "b365_a": 4.33, "pinnacle_h": 1.86, "pinnacle_d": 3.95, "pinnacle_a": 4.7, "pinnacle_source": "BetfairExchange", "wh_h": 1.8, "wh_d": 3.75, "wh_a": 4.2, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 1.7, "hkjc_d_est": 3.51, "hkjc_a_est": 4.1, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 9.39, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-04-11", "home": "Arsenal", "away": "Bournemouth", "ft_home": 1, "ft_away": 2, "ht_home": 1, "ht_away": 1, "b365_h": 1.44, "b365_d": 4.5, "b365_a": 7.5, "pinnacle_h": 1.47, "pinnacle_d": 5.0, "pinnacle_a": 8.0, "pinnacle_source": "BetfairExchange", "wh_h": 1.46, "wh_d": 4.8, "wh_a": 6.0, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 1.35, "hkjc_d_est": 4.37, "hkjc_a_est": 6.86, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 9.82, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-04-11", "home": "Brentford", "away": "Everton", "ft_home": 2, "ft_away": 2, "ht_home": 1, "ht_away": 1, "b365_h": 2.15, "b365_d": 3.3, "b365_a": 3.5, "pinnacle_h": 2.22, "pinnacle_d": 3.5, "pinnacle_a": 3.75, "pinnacle_source": "BetfairExchange", "wh_h": 2.1, "wh_d": 3.5, "wh_a": 3.3, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 2.02, "hkjc_d_est": 3.13, "hkjc_a_est": 3.32, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 8.66, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-04-11", "home": "Burnley", "away": "Brighton", "ft_home": 0, "ft_away": 2, "ht_home": 0, "ht_away": 1, "b365_h": 4.5, "b365_d": 4.0, "b365_a": 1.73, "pinnacle_h": 4.9, "pinnacle_d": 4.2, "pinnacle_a": 1.78, "pinnacle_source": "BetfairExchange", "wh_h": 4.2, "wh_d": 3.9, "wh_a": 1.78, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 4.23, "hkjc_d_est": 3.69, "hkjc_a_est": 1.65, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 9.53, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-04-11", "home": "Liverpool", "away": "Fulham", "ft_home": 2, "ft_away": 0, "ht_home": 2, "ht_away": 0, "b365_h": 1.65, "b365_d": 4.2, "b365_a": 4.75, "pinnacle_h": 1.72, "pinnacle_d": 4.4, "pinnacle_a": 5.2, "pinnacle_source": "BetfairExchange", "wh_h": 1.63, "wh_d": 4.2, "wh_a": 4.75, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 1.58, "hkjc_d_est": 3.85, "hkjc_a_est": 4.47, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 9.88, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-04-12", "home": "Crystal Palace", "away": "Newcastle", "ft_home": 2, "ft_away": 1, "ht_home": 0, "ht_away": 1, "b365_h": 3.0, "b365_d": 3.6, "b365_a": 2.2, "pinnacle_h": 3.25, "pinnacle_d": 3.7, "pinnacle_a": 2.32, "pinnacle_source": "BetfairExchange", "wh_h": 2.95, "wh_d": 3.5, "wh_a": 2.3, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 2.92, "hkjc_d_est": 3.3, "hkjc_a_est": 2.13, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 7.91, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-04-12", "home": "Nott'm Forest", "away": "Aston Villa", "ft_home": 1, "ft_away": 1, "ht_home": 1, "ht_away": 1, "b365_h": 2.63, "b365_d": 3.3, "b365_a": 2.7, "pinnacle_h": 2.78, "pinnacle_d": 3.45, "pinnacle_a": 2.82, "pinnacle_source": "BetfairExchange", "wh_h": 2.6, "wh_d": 3.4, "wh_a": 2.65, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 2.54, "hkjc_d_est": 3.06, "hkjc_a_est": 2.53, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 8.63, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-04-12", "home": "Sunderland", "away": "Tottenham", "ft_home": 1, "ft_away": 0, "ht_home": 0, "ht_away": 0, "b365_h": 2.7, "b365_d": 3.2, "b365_a": 2.7, "pinnacle_h": 2.78, "pinnacle_d": 3.5, "pinnacle_a": 2.78, "pinnacle_source": "BetfairExchange", "wh_h": 2.6, "wh_d": 3.4, "wh_a": 2.6, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 2.55, "hkjc_d_est": 3.11, "hkjc_a_est": 2.5, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 8.26, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-04-12", "home": "Chelsea", "away": "Man City", "ft_home": 0, "ft_away": 3, "ht_home": 0, "ht_away": 0, "b365_h": 3.1, "b365_d": 3.8, "b365_a": 2.15, "pinnacle_h": 3.35, "pinnacle_d": 4.0, "pinnacle_a": 2.16, "pinnacle_source": "BetfairExchange", "wh_h": 3.0, "wh_d": 3.9, "wh_a": 2.15, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 3.01, "hkjc_d_est": 3.53, "hkjc_a_est": 2.0, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 8.46, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-04-13", "home": "Man United", "away": "Leeds", "ft_home": 1, "ft_away": 2, "ht_home": 0, "ht_away": 2, "b365_h": 1.62, "b365_d": 4.1, "b365_a": 5.0, "pinnacle_h": 1.65, "pinnacle_d": 4.4, "pinnacle_a": 5.6, "pinnacle_source": "BetfairExchange", "wh_h": 1.62, "wh_d": 4.2, "wh_a": 5.0, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 1.53, "hkjc_d_est": 3.89, "hkjc_a_est": 4.86, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 8.39, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-04-18", "home": "Brentford", "away": "Fulham", "ft_home": 0, "ft_away": 0, "ht_home": 0, "ht_away": 0, "b365_h": 2.1, "b365_d": 3.75, "b365_a": 3.25, "pinnacle_h": 2.18, "pinnacle_d": 3.85, "pinnacle_a": 3.5, "pinnacle_source": "BetfairExchange", "wh_h": 2.1, "wh_d": 3.6, "wh_a": 3.3, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 2.01, "hkjc_d_est": 3.37, "hkjc_a_est": 3.13, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 9.02, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-04-18", "home": "Leeds", "away": "Wolves", "ft_home": 3, "ft_away": 0, "ht_home": 2, "ht_away": 0, "b365_h": 1.62, "b365_d": 3.9, "b365_a": 5.75, "pinnacle_h": 1.64, "pinnacle_d": 4.3, "pinnacle_a": 6.2, "pinnacle_source": "BetfairExchange", "wh_h": 1.62, "wh_d": 3.9, "wh_a": 5.5, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 1.51, "hkjc_d_est": 3.77, "hkjc_a_est": 5.33, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 9.6, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-04-18", "home": "Newcastle", "away": "Bournemouth", "ft_home": 1, "ft_away": 2, "ht_home": 0, "ht_away": 1, "b365_h": 2.0, "b365_d": 3.75, "b365_a": 3.5, "pinnacle_h": 2.1, "pinnacle_d": 4.0, "pinnacle_a": 3.65, "pinnacle_source": "BetfairExchange", "wh_h": 1.95, "wh_d": 3.9, "wh_a": 3.5, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 1.92, "hkjc_d_est": 3.49, "hkjc_a_est": 3.24, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 9.38, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-04-18", "home": "Tottenham", "away": "Brighton", "ft_home": 2, "ft_away": 2, "ht_home": 1, "ht_away": 1, "b365_h": 2.7, "b365_d": 3.75, "b365_a": 2.4, "pinnacle_h": 2.92, "pinnacle_d": 3.9, "pinnacle_a": 2.46, "pinnacle_source": "BetfairExchange", "wh_h": 2.7, "wh_d": 3.7, "wh_a": 2.4, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 2.62, "hkjc_d_est": 3.46, "hkjc_a_est": 2.25, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 8.6, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-04-18", "home": "Chelsea", "away": "Man United", "ft_home": 0, "ft_away": 1, "ht_home": 0, "ht_away": 1, "b365_h": 2.2, "b365_d": 3.5, "b365_a": 3.2, "pinnacle_h": 2.3, "pinnacle_d": 3.85, "pinnacle_a": 3.25, "pinnacle_source": "BetfairExchange", "wh_h": 2.2, "wh_d": 3.7, "wh_a": 3.0, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 2.1, "hkjc_d_est": 3.41, "hkjc_a_est": 2.9, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 8.71, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-04-19", "home": "Aston Villa", "away": "Sunderland", "ft_home": 4, "ft_away": 3, "ht_home": 2, "ht_away": 1, "b365_h": 1.67, "b365_d": 3.75, "b365_a": 5.5, "pinnacle_h": 1.73, "pinnacle_d": 4.0, "pinnacle_a": 5.6, "pinnacle_source": "BetfairExchange", "wh_h": 1.66, "wh_d": 3.9, "wh_a": 5.0, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 1.6, "hkjc_d_est": 3.52, "hkjc_a_est": 4.84, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 10.33, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-04-19", "home": "Everton", "away": "Liverpool", "ft_home": 1, "ft_away": 2, "ht_home": 0, "ht_away": 1, "b365_h": 3.1, "b365_d": 3.4, "b365_a": 2.3, "pinnacle_h": 3.3, "pinnacle_d": 3.45, "pinnacle_a": 2.4, "pinnacle_source": "BetfairExchange", "wh_h": 3.1, "wh_d": 3.4, "wh_a": 2.25, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 2.97, "hkjc_d_est": 3.08, "hkjc_a_est": 2.2, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 8.59, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-04-19", "home": "Nott'm Forest", "away": "Burnley", "ft_home": 4, "ft_away": 1, "ht_home": 0, "ht_away": 1, "b365_h": 1.5, "b365_d": 4.2, "b365_a": 7.0, "pinnacle_h": 1.54, "pinnacle_d": 4.5, "pinnacle_a": 7.4, "pinnacle_source": "BetfairExchange", "wh_h": 1.5, "wh_d": 4.33, "wh_a": 6.25, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 1.42, "hkjc_d_est": 3.95, "hkjc_a_est": 6.37, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 10.07, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-04-19", "home": "Man City", "away": "Arsenal", "ft_home": 2, "ft_away": 1, "ht_home": 1, "ht_away": 1, "b365_h": 1.83, "b365_d": 3.7, "b365_a": 4.2, "pinnacle_h": 1.9, "pinnacle_d": 3.9, "pinnacle_a": 4.5, "pinnacle_source": "BetfairExchange", "wh_h": 1.8, "wh_d": 3.7, "wh_a": 4.33, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 1.74, "hkjc_d_est": 3.48, "hkjc_a_est": 3.93, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 9.02, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-04-20", "home": "Crystal Palace", "away": "West Ham", "ft_home": 0, "ft_away": 0, "ht_home": 0, "ht_away": 0, "b365_h": 2.38, "b365_d": 3.2, "b365_a": 3.1, "pinnacle_h": 2.5, "pinnacle_d": 3.4, "pinnacle_a": 3.15, "pinnacle_source": "BetfairExchange", "wh_h": 2.3, "wh_d": 3.3, "wh_a": 3.1, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 2.3, "hkjc_d_est": 3.04, "hkjc_a_est": 2.84, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 8.22, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-04-21", "home": "Brighton", "away": "Chelsea", "ft_home": 3, "ft_away": 0, "ht_home": 1, "ht_away": 0, "b365_h": 2.5, "b365_d": 3.5, "b365_a": 2.7, "pinnacle_h": 2.54, "pinnacle_d": 3.75, "pinnacle_a": 2.7, "pinnacle_source": "MaxMarket", "wh_h": 2.4, "wh_d": 3.6, "wh_a": 2.7, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 2.38, "hkjc_d_est": 3.42, "hkjc_a_est": 2.48, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 6.92, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-04-22", "home": "Bournemouth", "away": "Leeds", "ft_home": 2, "ft_away": 2, "ht_home": 0, "ht_away": 0, "b365_h": 2.0, "b365_d": 3.5, "b365_a": 3.6, "pinnacle_h": 2.1, "pinnacle_d": 3.6, "pinnacle_a": 4.0, "pinnacle_source": "MaxMarket", "wh_h": 2.05, "wh_d": 3.6, "wh_a": 3.4, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 1.93, "hkjc_d_est": 3.21, "hkjc_a_est": 3.5, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 8.46, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-04-22", "home": "Burnley", "away": "Man City", "ft_home": 0, "ft_away": 1, "ht_home": 0, "ht_away": 1, "b365_h": 19.0, "b365_d": 9.0, "b365_a": 1.13, "pinnacle_h": 20.0, "pinnacle_d": 9.0, "pinnacle_a": 1.22, "pinnacle_source": "MaxMarket", "wh_h": 14.0, "wh_d": 8.5, "wh_a": 1.17, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 16.57, "hkjc_d_est": 7.6, "hkjc_a_est": 1.08, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 14.97, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-04-24", "home": "Sunderland", "away": "Nott'm Forest", "ft_home": 0, "ft_away": 5, "ht_home": 0, "ht_away": 4, "b365_h": 2.7, "b365_d": 3.2, "b365_a": 2.7, "pinnacle_h": 2.75, "pinnacle_d": 3.25, "pinnacle_a": 2.75, "pinnacle_source": "MaxMarket", "wh_h": 2.65, "wh_d": 3.2, "wh_a": 2.7, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 2.59, "hkjc_d_est": 2.98, "hkjc_a_est": 2.54, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 6.91, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-04-25", "home": "Fulham", "away": "Aston Villa", "ft_home": 1, "ft_away": 0, "ht_home": 1, "ht_away": 0, "b365_h": 2.75, "b365_d": 3.6, "b365_a": 2.45, "pinnacle_h": 2.75, "pinnacle_d": 3.6, "pinnacle_a": 2.54, "pinnacle_source": "MaxMarket", "wh_h": 2.7, "wh_d": 3.5, "wh_a": 2.5, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 2.54, "hkjc_d_est": 3.29, "hkjc_a_est": 2.39, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 7.36, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-04-25", "home": "Liverpool", "away": "Crystal Palace", "ft_home": 3, "ft_away": 1, "ht_home": 2, "ht_away": 0, "b365_h": 1.44, "b365_d": 5.0, "b365_a": 6.25, "pinnacle_h": 1.5, "pinnacle_d": 5.0, "pinnacle_a": 7.0, "pinnacle_source": "MaxMarket", "wh_h": 1.49, "wh_d": 4.75, "wh_a": 5.75, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 1.39, "hkjc_d_est": 4.39, "hkjc_a_est": 6.03, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 9.84, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-04-25", "home": "West Ham", "away": "Everton", "ft_home": 2, "ft_away": 1, "ht_home": 0, "ht_away": 0, "b365_h": 2.4, "b365_d": 3.4, "b365_a": 2.9, "pinnacle_h": 2.43, "pinnacle_d": 3.5, "pinnacle_a": 3.0, "pinnacle_source": "MaxMarket", "wh_h": 2.35, "wh_d": 3.4, "wh_a": 2.95, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 2.28, "hkjc_d_est": 3.19, "hkjc_a_est": 2.76, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 6.99, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-04-25", "home": "Wolves", "away": "Tottenham", "ft_home": 0, "ft_away": 1, "ht_home": 0, "ht_away": 0, "b365_h": 4.5, "b365_d": 4.33, "b365_a": 1.67, "pinnacle_h": 4.75, "pinnacle_d": 4.33, "pinnacle_a": 1.73, "pinnacle_source": "MaxMarket", "wh_h": 4.33, "wh_d": 4.0, "wh_a": 1.73, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 4.16, "hkjc_d_est": 3.87, "hkjc_a_est": 1.62, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 9.33, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-04-25", "home": "Arsenal", "away": "Newcastle", "ft_home": 1, "ft_away": 0, "ht_home": 1, "ht_away": 0, "b365_h": 1.45, "b365_d": 4.75, "b365_a": 6.25, "pinnacle_h": 1.5, "pinnacle_d": 4.8, "pinnacle_a": 6.75, "pinnacle_source": "MaxMarket", "wh_h": 1.49, "wh_d": 4.75, "wh_a": 5.75, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 1.4, "hkjc_d_est": 4.28, "hkjc_a_est": 5.9, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 9.03, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-04-27", "home": "Man United", "away": "Brentford", "ft_home": 2, "ft_away": 1, "ht_home": 2, "ht_away": 0, "b365_h": 1.85, "b365_d": 3.8, "b365_a": 4.0, "pinnacle_h": 1.9, "pinnacle_d": 4.0, "pinnacle_a": 4.0, "pinnacle_source": "MaxMarket", "wh_h": 1.82, "wh_d": 3.9, "wh_a": 4.0, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 1.78, "hkjc_d_est": 3.64, "hkjc_a_est": 3.57, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 8.17, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-05-01", "home": "Leeds", "away": "Burnley", "ft_home": 3, "ft_away": 1, "ht_home": 1, "ht_away": 0, "b365_h": 1.33, "b365_d": 5.0, "b365_a": 9.5, "pinnacle_h": 1.38, "pinnacle_d": 5.4, "pinnacle_a": 9.5, "pinnacle_source": "MaxMarket", "wh_h": 1.38, "wh_d": 5.0, "wh_a": 7.75, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 1.28, "hkjc_d_est": 4.76, "hkjc_a_est": 8.21, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 10.27, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-05-02", "home": "Brentford", "away": "West Ham", "ft_home": 3, "ft_away": 0, "ht_home": 1, "ht_away": 0, "b365_h": 1.91, "b365_d": 3.75, "b365_a": 3.75, "pinnacle_h": 1.95, "pinnacle_d": 3.8, "pinnacle_a": 3.75, "pinnacle_source": "MaxMarket", "wh_h": 1.95, "wh_d": 3.75, "wh_a": 3.6, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 1.86, "hkjc_d_est": 3.45, "hkjc_a_est": 3.47, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 7.08, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-05-02", "home": "Newcastle", "away": "Brighton", "ft_home": 3, "ft_away": 1, "ht_home": 2, "ht_away": 0, "b365_h": 2.5, "b365_d": 3.75, "b365_a": 2.6, "pinnacle_h": 2.6, "pinnacle_d": 3.75, "pinnacle_a": 2.66, "pinnacle_source": "MaxMarket", "wh_h": 2.5, "wh_d": 3.6, "wh_a": 2.65, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 2.43, "hkjc_d_est": 3.4, "hkjc_a_est": 2.44, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 7.67, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-05-02", "home": "Wolves", "away": "Sunderland", "ft_home": 1, "ft_away": 1, "ht_home": 0, "ht_away": 1, "b365_h": 3.1, "b365_d": 3.2, "b365_a": 2.1, "pinnacle_h": 3.45, "pinnacle_d": 3.4, "pinnacle_a": 2.25, "pinnacle_source": "MaxMarket", "wh_h": 3.1, "wh_d": 3.4, "wh_a": 2.25, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 3.13, "hkjc_d_est": 3.12, "hkjc_a_est": 2.1, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 4.66, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-05-02", "home": "Arsenal", "away": "Fulham", "ft_home": 3, "ft_away": 0, "ht_home": 3, "ht_away": 0, "b365_h": 1.44, "b365_d": 4.33, "b365_a": 7.0, "pinnacle_h": 1.48, "pinnacle_d": 4.5, "pinnacle_a": 8.0, "pinnacle_source": "MaxMarket", "wh_h": 1.46, "wh_d": 4.5, "wh_a": 6.5, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 1.38, "hkjc_d_est": 4.01, "hkjc_a_est": 6.99, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 7.73, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-05-03", "home": "Bournemouth", "away": "Crystal Palace", "ft_home": 3, "ft_away": 0, "ht_home": 2, "ht_away": 0, "b365_h": 1.57, "b365_d": 4.33, "b365_a": 5.25, "pinnacle_h": 1.62, "pinnacle_d": 4.35, "pinnacle_a": 5.5, "pinnacle_source": "MaxMarket", "wh_h": 1.6, "wh_d": 4.2, "wh_a": 5.0, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 1.53, "hkjc_d_est": 3.91, "hkjc_a_est": 4.85, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 8.69, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-05-03", "home": "Man United", "away": "Liverpool", "ft_home": 3, "ft_away": 2, "ht_home": 2, "ht_away": 0, "b365_h": 2.3, "b365_d": 3.8, "b365_a": 2.75, "pinnacle_h": 2.38, "pinnacle_d": 3.9, "pinnacle_a": 2.85, "pinnacle_source": "MaxMarket", "wh_h": 2.3, "wh_d": 3.9, "wh_a": 2.75, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 2.22, "hkjc_d_est": 3.54, "hkjc_a_est": 2.61, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 7.15, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-05-03", "home": "Aston Villa", "away": "Tottenham", "ft_home": 1, "ft_away": 2, "ht_home": 0, "ht_away": 2, "b365_h": 2.15, "b365_d": 3.6, "b365_a": 3.2, "pinnacle_h": 2.15, "pinnacle_d": 3.75, "pinnacle_a": 3.4, "pinnacle_source": "MaxMarket", "wh_h": 2.1, "wh_d": 3.6, "wh_a": 3.3, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 2.02, "hkjc_d_est": 3.36, "hkjc_a_est": 3.1, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 7.42, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-05-04", "home": "Chelsea", "away": "Nott'm Forest", "ft_home": 1, "ft_away": 3, "ht_home": 0, "ht_away": 2, "b365_h": 1.7, "b365_d": 4.0, "b365_a": 4.75, "pinnacle_h": 1.71, "pinnacle_d": 4.1, "pinnacle_a": 4.9, "pinnacle_source": "MaxMarket", "wh_h": 1.71, "wh_d": 3.9, "wh_a": 4.6, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 1.63, "hkjc_d_est": 3.71, "hkjc_a_est": 4.35, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 8.23, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-05-04", "home": "Everton", "away": "Man City", "ft_home": 3, "ft_away": 3, "ht_home": 0, "ht_away": 1, "b365_h": 6.5, "b365_d": 4.75, "b365_a": 1.44, "pinnacle_h": 7.0, "pinnacle_d": 4.8, "pinnacle_a": 1.48, "pinnacle_source": "MaxMarket", "wh_h": 6.25, "wh_d": 4.6, "wh_a": 1.47, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 6.14, "hkjc_d_est": 4.29, "hkjc_a_est": 1.39, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 8.76, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-05-09", "home": "Liverpool", "away": "Chelsea", "ft_home": 1, "ft_away": 1, "ht_home": 1, "ht_away": 1, "b365_h": 1.83, "b365_d": 4.0, "b365_a": 3.9, "pinnacle_h": 1.9, "pinnacle_d": 4.2, "pinnacle_a": 4.1, "pinnacle_source": "BetfairExchange", "wh_h": 1.83, "wh_d": 4.0, "wh_a": 3.8, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 1.75, "hkjc_d_est": 3.69, "hkjc_a_est": 3.67, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 8.89, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-05-09", "home": "Brighton", "away": "Wolves", "ft_home": 3, "ft_away": 0, "ht_home": 2, "ht_away": 0, "b365_h": 1.27, "b365_d": 6.25, "b365_a": 9.5, "pinnacle_h": 1.29, "pinnacle_d": 6.8, "pinnacle_a": 12.0, "pinnacle_source": "BetfairExchange", "wh_h": 1.28, "wh_d": 6.0, "wh_a": 9.25, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 1.18, "hkjc_d_est": 5.91, "hkjc_a_est": 10.24, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 7.95, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-05-09", "home": "Fulham", "away": "Bournemouth", "ft_home": 0, "ft_away": 1, "ht_home": 0, "ht_away": 0, "b365_h": 2.75, "b365_d": 3.6, "b365_a": 2.4, "pinnacle_h": 2.9, "pinnacle_d": 3.9, "pinnacle_a": 2.46, "pinnacle_source": "BetfairExchange", "wh_h": 2.65, "wh_d": 3.7, "wh_a": 2.45, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 2.61, "hkjc_d_est": 3.47, "hkjc_a_est": 2.26, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 7.94, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-05-09", "home": "Sunderland", "away": "Man United", "ft_home": 0, "ft_away": 0, "ht_home": 0, "ht_away": 0, "b365_h": 3.9, "b365_d": 3.75, "b365_a": 1.85, "pinnacle_h": 4.3, "pinnacle_d": 3.9, "pinnacle_a": 1.94, "pinnacle_source": "BetfairExchange", "wh_h": 3.8, "wh_d": 3.6, "wh_a": 1.93, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 3.76, "hkjc_d_est": 3.48, "hkjc_a_est": 1.78, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 8.47, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-05-09", "home": "Man City", "away": "Brentford", "ft_home": 3, "ft_away": 0, "ht_home": 0, "ht_away": 0, "b365_h": 1.36, "b365_d": 5.75, "b365_a": 7.0, "pinnacle_h": 1.38, "pinnacle_d": 6.0, "pinnacle_a": 8.6, "pinnacle_source": "BetfairExchange", "wh_h": 1.37, "wh_d": 5.5, "wh_a": 6.75, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 1.27, "hkjc_d_est": 5.24, "hkjc_a_est": 7.37, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 8.61, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-05-10", "home": "Burnley", "away": "Aston Villa", "ft_home": 2, "ft_away": 2, "ht_home": 1, "ht_away": 1, "b365_h": 5.0, "b365_d": 4.33, "b365_a": 1.6, "pinnacle_h": 5.7, "pinnacle_d": 4.3, "pinnacle_a": 1.64, "pinnacle_source": "BetfairExchange", "wh_h": 5.25, "wh_d": 4.1, "wh_a": 1.61, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 4.97, "hkjc_d_est": 3.82, "hkjc_a_est": 1.53, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 8.83, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-05-10", "home": "Crystal Palace", "away": "Everton", "ft_home": 2, "ft_away": 2, "ht_home": 1, "ht_away": 1, "b365_h": 2.7, "b365_d": 3.3, "b365_a": 2.63, "pinnacle_h": 2.92, "pinnacle_d": 3.45, "pinnacle_a": 2.66, "pinnacle_source": "BetfairExchange", "wh_h": 2.75, "wh_d": 3.3, "wh_a": 2.55, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 2.63, "hkjc_d_est": 3.08, "hkjc_a_est": 2.44, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 8.27, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-05-10", "home": "Nott'm Forest", "away": "Newcastle", "ft_home": 1, "ft_away": 1, "ht_home": 0, "ht_away": 0, "b365_h": 2.6, "b365_d": 3.6, "b365_a": 2.6, "pinnacle_h": 2.76, "pinnacle_d": 3.7, "pinnacle_a": 2.66, "pinnacle_source": "BetfairExchange", "wh_h": 2.6, "wh_d": 3.5, "wh_a": 2.6, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 2.48, "hkjc_d_est": 3.3, "hkjc_a_est": 2.44, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 8.82, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-05-10", "home": "West Ham", "away": "Arsenal", "ft_home": 0, "ft_away": 1, "ht_home": 0, "ht_away": 0, "b365_h": 5.5, "b365_d": 4.2, "b365_a": 1.57, "pinnacle_h": 5.8, "pinnacle_d": 4.5, "pinnacle_a": 1.63, "pinnacle_source": "BetfairExchange", "wh_h": 5.25, "wh_d": 4.0, "wh_a": 1.62, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 5.01, "hkjc_d_est": 3.96, "hkjc_a_est": 1.51, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 9.53, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." }, { "date": "2026-05-11", "home": "Tottenham", "away": "Leeds", "ft_home": 1, "ft_away": 1, "ht_home": 0, "ht_away": 0, "b365_h": 1.83, "b365_d": 4.1, "b365_a": 3.75, "pinnacle_h": 1.93, "pinnacle_d": 4.1, "pinnacle_a": 4.1, "pinnacle_source": "BetfairExchange", "wh_h": 1.8, "wh_d": 3.9, "wh_a": 4.1, "wh_source": "BW", "hkjc_h_est": 1.78, "hkjc_d_est": 3.66, "hkjc_a_est": 3.59, "avg_overseas_vs_hkjc_diff_pct": 8.99, "source": "Football-Data.co.uk (real) + HKJC estimated from pari-mutuel model", "notes": "hkjc_*_est is modeled (HKJC public odds not in any free dataset). Match results + B365/Pinnacle/WH odds are real." } ] }